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Red19
559414.9
533228.9
423512.2
Blue78
179515.6
446834.4
602319.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546802040801001201401601978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#13
28.92.4
28.325.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
blue by 5.5
34.40.9
31.632.5
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
Second
5594
#25
14.92.4
13.711.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 4.5
6023
#28
19.40.9
17.318.2
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
4235
#31
12.22.4
12.39.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.2
blue by 3.4
1795
#32
15.60.9
15.416.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed