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Red92
360028.8
83230.4
533615.3
Blue72
474927.5
521914.3
168327.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586701001502009272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#7
30.42.3
27.730.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 3.0
4749
#15
27.50.5
29.029.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
3600
#10
28.82.3
21.824.1
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 1.4
1683
#12
27.40.5
22.623.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Third
5336
#23
15.32.3
8.510.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
red by 1.0
5219
#27
14.30.5
12.613.1
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed