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Red57
560827.6
590020.9
559414.9
Blue55
141416.7
533228.9
418924.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4674020601001201401605755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.5
24.825.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
blue by 1.3
5332
#13
28.90.9
25.925.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Second
5900
#11
20.90.5
12.713.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End3.4
blue by 3.7
4189
#30
24.60.9
24.623.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
5594
#25
14.90.5
11.411.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 1.8
1414
#26
16.70.9
17.416.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed