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Red55
411211.9
177131.9
141416.7
Blue74
360028.8
521914.3
446834.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507701001505574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#14
31.90.2
27.026.8
Auto5.0
Teleop19.3
End7.7
blue by 2.5
34.40.2
32.933.1
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
Second
1414
#26
16.70.2
16.516.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 12.1
3600
#10
28.80.2
24.724.9
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
4112
#33
11.90.2
9.39.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
blue by 2.5
5219
#27
14.30.2
13.113.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed