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Red70
179515.6
357318.7
491031.9
Blue73
533615.3
553626.7
560827.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636002040801001201401607073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#16
31.90.6
27.828.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
red by 4.3
27.61.0
25.426.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Second
3573
#19
18.70.6
15.115.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 8.0
26.71.0
22.223.1
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
1795
#32
15.60.6
17.718.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.7
red by 0.3
5336
#23
15.31.0
10.811.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed