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Red85
521914.3
510922.4
241540.6
Blue82
44599.6
533615.3
491031.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774901001502008582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.6
38.439.0
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 8.7
4910
#16
31.91.4
27.428.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
5109
#24
22.40.6
20.320.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
red by 7.1
5336
#23
15.31.4
13.214.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Third
5219
#27
14.30.6
12.312.9
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
red by 4.7
4459
#35
9.61.4
10.912.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed