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Red112
558221.5
491031.9
553626.7
Blue70
141416.7
510922.4
423512.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83410206010012014016011270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#16
31.91.5
28.730.2
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
red by 9.5
5109
#24
22.41.6
20.922.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
26.71.5
25.627.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 10.0
1414
#26
16.71.6
16.117.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
5582
#21
21.51.5
20.021.5
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 9.3
4235
#31
12.21.6
9.410.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed