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Red79
563232.6
83230.4
418924.6
Blue90
590020.9
533228.9
491031.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96750501502007990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.8
33.432.7
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End5.1
red by 0.7
4910
#16
31.90.9
30.231.2
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
832
#7
30.40.8
31.230.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 1.5
5332
#13
28.90.9
26.727.6
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Third
4189
#30
24.60.8
25.725.0
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
red by 3.7
5900
#11
20.90.9
19.120.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed