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Red68
521914.3
590020.9
533615.3
Blue97
558221.5
446834.4
513232.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39980501506897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#11
20.91.1
20.021.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End3.4
blue by 13.4
34.40.7
33.934.5
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
Second
5336
#23
15.31.1
14.715.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 17.3
32.60.7
31.532.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
Third
5219
#27
14.31.1
12.013.1
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 7.2
5582
#21
21.50.7
21.522.2
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned