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Red252
19568.0
119736.3
98756.7
Blue142
49451.5
55852.7
250236.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214173050100150250300350400252142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.00.9
67.568.5
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End10.8
red by 15.3
558
#8
52.70.5
53.252.8
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
Second
987
#4
56.70.9
56.257.2
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End6.7
red by 5.2
494
#9
51.50.5
52.051.6
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
Third
1197
#52
36.30.9
35.936.8
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
blue by 0.2
2502
#48
36.60.5
37.136.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9