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Red126
106538.1
353942.4
438439.6
Blue75
378623.4
250236.6
313230.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135895010015020012675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.9
44.743.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
red by 5.8
2502
#48
36.61.2
39.137.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Second
4384
#24
39.60.9
41.640.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
red by 9.4
3132
#25
30.21.2
30.028.7
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End4.3
Third
1065
#27
38.10.9
38.237.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.7
End5.5
red by 14.7
3786
#71
23.41.2
24.122.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed