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Red113
445032.9
264236.6
500631.9
Blue100
400934.8
119736.3
363737.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711850150200113100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#39
36.61.0
34.835.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
blue by 0.5
3637
#33
37.11.1
39.138.0
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
4450
#60
32.91.0
33.734.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
blue by 3.4
1197
#52
36.31.1
36.535.4
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
Third
5006
#18
31.91.0
28.929.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
blue by 2.9
4009
#36
34.81.1
35.834.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned18%Capture oddsMissed