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Red128
569029.5
264236.6
102348.7
Blue145
115342.5
24539.5
581346.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114129406080100140160180200128145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#28
48.71.0
48.549.5
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
red by 2.8
46.01.5
43.845.3
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
2642
#39
36.61.0
35.936.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
blue by 5.9
1153
#13
42.51.5
40.341.8
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
Third
5690
#38
29.51.0
28.529.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
blue by 10.0
245
#20
39.51.5
38.439.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned88%Capture oddsEarned