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Red89
619333.3
587221.7
290731.7
Blue111
87043.8
293531.0
400934.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311820406010014016089111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#42
33.30.2
33.133.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
blue by 10.5
870
#46
43.80.2
43.743.4
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
2907
#50
31.70.2
31.531.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
blue by 3.2
4009
#36
34.80.2
34.734.4
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Third
5872
#73
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
blue by 9.3
2935
#23
31.00.2
31.231.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed