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Red72
587221.7
617526.6
494530.2
Blue125
33333.7
298736.0
106538.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111405010015020072125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4945
#62
30.20.3
32.332.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
blue by 7.9
1065
#27
38.10.8
38.539.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Second
6175
#17
26.60.4
18.018.5
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 9.5
2987
#11
36.01.1
31.032.1
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Third
5872
#73
21.70.3
16.717.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
blue by 12.0
333
#10
33.70.8
33.334.1
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned