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Red132
544843.2
503427.1
34149.4
Blue121
17543.7
119736.3
290731.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116113050100150200250132121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#6
49.40.6
45.746.4
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End10.8
red by 5.7
175
#14
43.70.7
40.040.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
5448
#44
43.20.6
41.141.8
Auto15.7
Teleop18.1
End9.4
red by 6.9
1197
#52
36.30.7
37.037.6
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
Third
5034
#53
27.10.8
25.426.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 4.5
2907
#50
31.70.7
33.834.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned