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Red85
429030.8
449934.0
462523.3
Blue95
500631.9
400934.8
250236.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88108501502008595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#15
34.00.2
34.834.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
blue by 2.5
2502
#48
36.60.5
37.537.0
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Second
4290
#35
30.80.2
31.931.7
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
blue by 4.0
4009
#36
34.80.5
35.835.3
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Third
4625
#74
23.30.2
21.421.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 8.6
5006
#18
31.90.5
28.928.4
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed