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Red87
462523.3
392629.3
106538.1
Blue112
246841.9
501230.4
415925.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91985015087112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1065
#27
38.10.2
40.139.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.7
End5.5
blue by 3.8
2468
#19
41.90.5
41.542.0
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End3.1
Second
3926
#72
29.30.2
28.228.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
blue by 1.1
5012
#65
30.40.5
29.930.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.6
Third
4625
#74
23.30.2
21.221.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 2.3
4159
#41
25.60.5
22.823.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsEarned