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Red94
452530.0
120920.3
264236.6
Blue118
17543.7
449934.0
440331.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801095010015094118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#39
36.60.4
35.636.1
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
blue by 7.1
175
#14
43.70.4
39.039.4
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
4525
#37
30.00.4
28.228.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.0
blue by 4.1
4499
#15
34.00.4
34.635.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
Third
1209
#51
20.30.4
18.519.0
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 11.5
4403
#55
31.80.4
28.228.7
Auto7.1
Teleop19.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed