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Red74
290731.7
445032.9
8828.6
Blue105
19568.0
617526.6
53821.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111112809010012013074105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#60
32.92.6
40.337.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
blue by 35.1
195
#1
68.00.2
67.066.8
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End10.8
Second
2907
#50
31.72.6
32.830.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
red by 5.1
6175
#17
26.60.2
22.221.9
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Third
88
#68
28.62.6
34.431.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
red by 7.1
538
#69
21.50.2
19.319.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed