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Red96
584627.8
544843.2
312829.5
Blue114
228327.5
500631.9
102348.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910705015096114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#44
43.20.4
41.140.6
Auto15.7
Teleop18.1
End9.4
blue by 5.5
1023
#28
48.70.8
48.048.8
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
Second
3128
#40
29.50.4
28.828.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
blue by 2.4
5006
#18
31.90.8
28.429.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Third
5846
#34
27.80.4
27.226.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End5.2
red by 0.3
2283
#56
27.50.8
26.126.8
Auto9.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed