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Red89
234131.2
587221.7
378623.4
Blue97
120920.3
62331.4
429030.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669002040801001201408997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#63
31.21.4
29.831.2
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End6.7
blue by 0.2
623
#45
31.40.2
32.532.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
3786
#71
23.41.4
21.422.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.2
blue by 7.4
4290
#35
30.80.2
30.330.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
Third
5872
#73
21.71.4
16.718.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
red by 1.4
1209
#51
20.30.2
20.821.1
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed