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Red107
301824.1
524321.1
36549.5
Blue90
392629.3
445032.9
102348.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512305010015020010790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
49.51.3
45.346.5
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
red by 0.8
1023
#28
48.71.6
48.847.1
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
Second
3018
#64
24.11.3
20.521.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.1
End4.0
blue by 8.8
4450
#60
32.91.6
35.734.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Third
5243
#49
21.11.3
22.323.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 8.3
3926
#72
29.31.6
29.728.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed