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Red197
19568.0
119736.3
98756.7
Blue141
353942.4
17543.7
62331.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241320100200300400197141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.00.2
68.668.4
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End10.8
red by 24.3
175
#14
43.70.0
43.843.8
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
987
#4
56.70.2
57.357.1
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End6.7
red by 14.3
42.40.0
42.642.5
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
Third
1197
#52
36.30.2
36.135.9
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
red by 4.9
623
#45
31.40.0
31.631.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5