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Red102
201632.4
259051.9
475029.1
Blue10
81619.3
518127.8
2016B16.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12754010015020025030010210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
red by 24.1
5181
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
Second
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
red by 13.1
816
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Third
4750
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
red by 12.9
2016B
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds71%Breach odds
Capture
49%Capture odds2%Capture odds