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Qual 132016 HAVOC
Red129
86947.4
2016B16.2
475029.1
Blue37
140332.4
121831.9
518127.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959540608010012012937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
red by 15.1
1403
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
Second
4750
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
blue by 2.9
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Third
2016B
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End2.3
blue by 11.6
5181
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
40%Capture odds25%Capture odds