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Red60
475029.1
518127.8
260734.2
Blue90
42326.3
255927.2
70843.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921010501502002503003506090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
blue by 9.4
708
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
Second
4750
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End3.3
red by 1.9
2559
Unranked
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
5181
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
red by 1.5
423
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds64%Capture odds