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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Summer Heat
Red108
13135.4
31940.9
393123.5
Blue123
17228.9
264838.2
393027.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712690100110120130140150108123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
40.90.1
41.2→41.2
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 2.7
2648
#13
38.20.0
38.5→38.6
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Second
131
#2
35.40.1
35.8→35.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
red by 6.5
172
#20
28.90.0
29.2→29.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Third
3931
#19
23.50.1
23.9→23.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
blue by 4.3
3930
#23
27.80.0
28.1→28.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End3.0