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Qual 12016 Summer Heat
Red41
35858.9
360922.6
512229.4
Blue109
13357.9
217528.2
176842.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48166010015020025030041109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#9
29.41.9
31.3→29.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
blue by 28.5
133
#11
57.92.7
60.5→57.8
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
Second
3609
#16
22.61.9
20.4→18.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9
blue by 20.3
1768
#5
42.82.7
45.3→42.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
Third
3585
#22
8.91.9
12.8→10.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
blue by 19.4
2175
#18
28.22.7
38.5→35.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed62%Capture oddsMissed