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Qual 202016 Summer Heat
Red86
27119.6
88529.0
405537.8
Blue58
35858.9
13357.9
41820.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9088506070801001101208658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#3
37.80.3
35.8→35.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
blue by 20.1
133
#11
57.92.0
57.6→55.6
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
Second
885
#10
29.00.3
28.8→28.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
red by 8.2
418
#21
20.82.0
22.4→20.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Third
271
#17
19.60.3
20.6→20.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0
red by 10.8
3585
#22
8.92.0
8.6→6.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed