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Qual 32016 Summer Heat
Red134
568743.9
405537.8
545920.9
Blue31
393123.5
41820.8
8532.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011042040608012014016013431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#6
43.91.4
38.4→39.8
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
red by 11.6
85
#7
32.25.3
41.5→36.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Second
4055
#3
37.81.4
36.6→38.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
red by 14.3
3931
#19
23.55.3
30.3→25.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
Third
5459
#15
20.91.4
22.9→24.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
red by 0.1
418
#21
20.85.3
28.4→23.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed