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Semifinal 1-22016 Summer Heat
Red105
17228.9
264838.2
393027.8
Blue129
88529.0
151951.9
41820.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712650100150200105129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#13
38.20.2
38.4→38.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
blue by 13.7
1519
#8
51.90.2
52.1→52.2
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
Second
172
#20
28.90.2
29.1→28.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
blue by 0.1
885
#10
29.00.2
29.1→29.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
Third
3930
#23
27.80.2
28.0→27.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End3.0
red by 7.0
418
#21
20.80.2
20.9→21.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1