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Red107
425326.8
388034.1
508727.0
Blue117
243834.1
243937.2
244522.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105118050150200250107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.0
34.234.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
blue by 3.0
37.20.1
37.537.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
Second
5087
#18
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
blue by 7.2
34.10.1
34.434.4
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Third
4253
#11
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
red by 4.2
2445
#19
22.60.1
22.922.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6