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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Hawaii Regional
Red159
244331.6
313230.4
252229.4
Blue100
244426.2
285326.3
250424.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11894406080140160180159100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#17
31.60.4
31.7→32.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
red by 5.3
2853
#7
26.30.1
26.4→26.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Second
3132
#4
30.40.4
30.5→30.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End4.7
red by 4.2
2444
#10
26.20.0
26.2→26.2
Auto10.5
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
2522
#24
29.40.4
29.5→29.9
Auto12.3
Teleop13.6
End3.4
red by 4.9
2504
#20
24.50.0
24.5→24.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End3.4