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Qual 102016 Hawaii Regional
Red10
247713.6
372113.2
380013.5
Blue70
408311.9
243725.1
244426.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445002060801001070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2477
#35
13.63.7
13.8→10.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 12.6
2444
#10
26.22.4
17.9→20.3
Auto10.5
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Second
3800
#15
13.53.7
13.7→10.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 11.6
2437
#12
25.12.0
20.5→22.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
3721
#33
13.23.7
16.1→12.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End0.2
red by 1.3
4083
#25
11.91.8
9.6→11.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed