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Qual 122016 Hawaii Regional
Red20
250424.5
583212.1
421816.4
Blue66
388034.1
137815.8
243834.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457202060801001201402066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2504
#20
24.53.0
20.0→17.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End3.4
blue by 9.6
2438
#9
34.10.5
18.9→18.4
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Second
4218
#30
16.43.0
15.7→12.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 17.8
3880
#6
34.10.4
30.5→30.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Third
5832
#37
12.13.0
11.5→8.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End3.8
blue by 3.7
1378
#32
15.80.5
16.1→15.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed