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Red5
408311.9
56256.4
247713.6
Blue30
234821.8
560514.8
387820.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375602080100120530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2477
#35
13.64.3
10.05.7
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 8.2
2348
#22
21.82.4
17.915.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Second
4083
#25
11.92.9
11.48.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 8.3
3878
#16
20.12.4
16.814.4
Auto2.1
Teleop14.0
End4.1
Third
5625
#38DQ
6.44.3
17.413.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 8.4
5605
#31
14.82.4
16.914.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed