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Qual 212016 Hawaii Regional
Red75
285326.3
246523.7
425326.8
Blue54
508727.0
387820.1
250424.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801001207554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#11
26.81.2
21.8→23.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
blue by 0.2
5087
#18
27.00.1
20.1→19.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Second
2853
#7
26.32.0
17.5→19.5
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
red by 1.8
2504
#20
24.50.2
16.3→16.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Third
2465
#14
23.71.2
17.7→18.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 3.5
3878
#16
20.10.2
14.4→14.2
Auto2.1
Teleop14.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed