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Qual 242016 Hawaii Regional
Red101
35954.6
372113.2
252229.4
Blue107
244331.6
300823.8
36838.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108834060100120140160101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
54.60.0
56.2→56.2
Auto15.6
Teleop32.1
End6.9
red by 16.3
368
#2
38.22.5
32.8→35.3
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End4.8
Second
2522
#24
29.40.0
33.3→33.3
Auto12.3
Teleop13.6
End3.4
blue by 2.2
2443
#17
31.61.5
29.5→31.0
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Third
3721
#33
13.20.0
11.7→11.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End0.2
blue by 10.6
3008
#21
23.81.5
21.8→23.3
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed