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Qual 292016 Hawaii Regional
Red57
387820.1
425326.8
380013.5
Blue45
545316.2
137815.8
617913.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524202060801005745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#11
26.80.5
23.0→23.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
red by 10.6
5453
#26
16.20.3
12.4→12.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
Second
3878
#16
20.10.8
14.2→15.0
Auto2.1
Teleop14.0
End4.1
red by 4.3
1378
#32
15.80.3
14.2→13.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Third
3800
#15
13.50.8
12.2→13.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 0.3
6179
#28
13.80.3
16.1→15.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed