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Red65
56256.4
285326.3
244331.6
Blue85
300823.8
388034.1
246523.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6375020401001201406585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#17
31.60.1
31.031.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
blue by 2.5
34.10.9
28.829.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Second
26.30.2
19.519.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
red by 2.6
3008
#21
23.80.9
23.324.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Third
5625
#38DQ
6.40.2
12.612.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 17.3
2465
#14
23.70.9
18.919.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed