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Red50
289622.5
137815.8
408311.9
Blue88
388034.1
285326.3
545316.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406802060801001205088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.2
17.918.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 11.6
34.11.8
29.831.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Second
1378
#32
15.80.2
13.914.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End2.8
blue by 10.5
26.32.9
19.722.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Third
4083
#25
11.90.1
11.611.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 4.3
5453
#26
16.22.9
12.115.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed