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Qual 422016 Hawaii Regional
Red78
244110.0
244522.6
477424.1
Blue70
408311.9
425326.8
583212.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53460204060801007870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#5
24.11.8
23.1→25.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 2.7
4253
#11
26.81.6
24.8→26.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Second
2445
#19
22.61.8
18.6→20.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 10.5
5832
#37
12.12.7
9.0→11.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End3.8
Third
2441
#36
10.03.1
8.7→11.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End0.9
blue by 1.9
4083
#25
11.91.6
11.7→13.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed