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Qual 452016 Hawaii Regional
Red77
244331.6
583212.1
289622.5
Blue42
380013.5
408311.9
300823.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69490204060801001207742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#17
31.60.9
30.9→31.8
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
red by 7.9
3008
#21
23.80.9
25.3→24.4
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Second
2896
#8
22.51.4
21.2→22.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 9.0
3800
#15
13.51.5
11.9→10.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End0.4
Third
5832
#37
12.11.4
11.8→13.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End3.8
red by 0.2
4083
#25
11.90.9
13.4→12.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed