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Qual 482016 Hawaii Regional
Red45
56256.4
508727.0
137815.8
Blue82
244331.6
234821.8
247713.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4869204060801001201404582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5087
#18
27.00.3
21.9→21.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
blue by 4.6
2443
#17
31.61.2
31.8→33.0
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
1378
#32
15.80.5
15.1→14.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End2.8
blue by 6.0
2348
#22
21.81.9
20.1→21.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Third
5625
#38DQ
6.40.5
12.9→12.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 7.1
2477
#35
13.61.9
12.1→14.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed