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Qual 532016 Hawaii Regional
Red85
560118.8
243937.2
387820.1
Blue76
244331.6
244522.6
560514.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70754060801001208576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#3
37.21.6
32.5→34.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
red by 5.5
2443
#17
31.60.3
33.0→33.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
3878
#16
20.11.6
21.2→22.8
Auto2.1
Teleop14.0
End4.1
blue by 2.4
2445
#19
22.60.3
21.2→21.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
5601
#34
18.81.6
15.2→16.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End2.8
red by 4.0
5605
#31
14.80.4
17.8→18.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed