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Red75
252229.4
388034.1
289622.5
Blue77
477424.1
250424.5
617913.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions994901502007577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.9
32.932.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
red by 9.6
2504
#20
24.52.1
20.022.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
2522
#24
29.40.9
33.632.6
Auto12.3
Teleop13.6
End3.4
red by 5.3
24.11.5
22.223.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
22.51.4
22.621.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 8.7
6179
#28
13.82.1
13.115.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed