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Red87
244331.6
388228.7
244426.2
Blue44
247713.6
583212.1
246523.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934301508744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#17
31.60.3
33.233.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
red by 7.9
2465
#14
23.70.4
22.121.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
3882
#23
28.70.3
26.026.3
Auto6.0
Teleop18.3
End4.4
red by 15.1
2477
#35
13.60.5
14.313.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
2444
#10
26.20.4
23.523.9
Auto10.5
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 14.1
5832
#37
12.10.5
13.012.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed