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Qual 612016 Hawaii Regional
Red52
545316.2
289622.5
425326.8
Blue34
421816.4
372113.2
560514.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675101001502005234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#11
26.80.7
25.1→24.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
red by 10.4
4218
#30
16.42.0
16.3→14.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Second
2896
#8
22.51.0
21.2→20.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 7.7
5605
#31
14.82.0
18.2→16.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
5453
#26
16.21.0
16.5→15.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
red by 3.0
3721
#33
13.22.0
17.3→15.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed