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Qual 702016 Hawaii Regional
Red65
243725.1
508727.0
560514.8
Blue77
285326.3
477424.1
289622.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6773204060801001201406577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5087
#18
27.00.1
24.8→24.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
red by 0.6
2853
#7
26.30.6
25.2→25.9
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Second
2437
#12
25.10.1
26.1→26.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End4.7
red by 1.0
4774
#5
24.10.5
23.8→24.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
5605
#31
14.80.1
14.9→14.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 7.7
2896
#8
22.50.5
21.0→21.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed